Tropical Atlantic May Heat Up – Disturbance to Approach Caribbean Late This Week

   Posted by Levi at 7:34pm on August 19, 2014


5 comments

   

Comments

  • Mark says:

    Great comentary as per usual! :)

  • HarryKane says:

    Thank You Levi, Years ago we heard alot about decades of low activity then decades of much more activity with the formation of hurricanes. Is this thinking still with merit? Are there valid reasons for this? If so, maybe we are entering a low activity period?

    • Levi says:

      The so-called “high activity era” started in 1995 when the AMO went positive, which makes the tropical Atlantic warm, and it has indeed been very active on average post-1995 relative to the 1965-1995 period. We expect the AMO to stay positive for another 5-10 years, but again this is on average. Quiet years still can and do occur. We’ve obviously had a couple recently.

  • Brandon says:

    Thanks Levi

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