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Erika Continues to Struggle, but Could be Big Threat Later; Ignacio May Threaten Hawaii

   Posted by Levi at 12:46am on August 27, 2015


11 comments

« Previous Entry   Next Entry »

Comments

  • Rob says:
    August 27, 2015 at 02:24

    Levi – Cheers from Gulfport MS, where everyone is a hurricane “expert” and locals are commemorating Katrina +10. Just wanted to say – you have the best, most concise, clearest, most articulate daily summaries of the tropics, bar none. You and Mike @ spaghettimodels.com, that’s all I need.

    BTW – Drives me crazy when you skip a day, lol.

    Reply
  • HarryCane says:
    August 27, 2015 at 02:55

    Thank You Levi, Another great video. Have you any idea why the NHC puts out cones on a 5 day forcast? Seems to me they should stick to the 3 day forcast because the information they put out with that is usually spot on. It drives me crazy to see that 5 day cone being tossed back and forth . All it does is get people all excited about a landfall or not. I am not sure they realize there are tens of millions of people living under that moving 5 day cone. Seems to me weather is too fluid and dynamic to be making calls like that. I am guessing that the media pushes them into making decisions that they are not ready to make. I think the funniest is when the NHC at the end of season gives the accuracy in forcasts during that hurricane season. They always pat themselves on the back and give themselves high accuracy ratings. The fact is they make adjustments in the number of hurricanes/tropical storms all along the season. Case in point, last year they predicted a busy season with 17 named storms. As the season wore on, they kept dropping the numbers till they had a very below average season, and sure enough, they were right again ! I think my twelve year old can do better in predicting storms by watching local weather reports and your in depth analysis. Thanks again for being my weather voice of reason. Sorry I had to vent. If you ever get into the weather business, please don’t change. Keep putting your fantastic product out.

    Reply
  • Joe A says:
    August 27, 2015 at 03:33

    Hello Levi. A question about terminology from an amatuer. You and others seem to use the term “tilted” and “Decoupled” synonymously when referring to the LLC and MLC, but these do not sound like synonyms to me. “Tilted” to me would indicate that while the centers were not stacked and thus not functioning at high efficiency, that they still were connected as a unit. “Decoupled” sounds to me like the two centers while in close proximity are independent of each other. Can you help clear up my confusion? Are the centers “connected” or no? Thanks from a frequent reader.

    Reply
    • Levi says:
      August 27, 2015 at 03:51

      Hi Joe, great question!

      It’s probably bad practice for me to interchange these words. Often they do effectively mean the same thing, that the vortex is tilted with height. It is difficult to tell if there is a continuous, tilted vortex, but usually this is the case. We often say “decoupled” because of the 2-dimensional appearance of two separate circulations, even if they are in fact connected in some way.

      Reply
      • Jean says:
        April 25, 2016 at 19:07

        That’s really shrdew! Good to see the logic set out so well.

        Reply
  • aquak9 says:
    August 27, 2015 at 23:50

    hi Levi! Just wanted to let you know that our local TV station, News4Jax (Jacksonville, FL) is using your graphics. We are all so proud of you!

    Reply
  • realfactchecker says:
    August 28, 2015 at 00:32

    You are a great public speaker…easy to listen to and great info.
    Thanks.

    Reply
  • Don says:
    August 28, 2015 at 00:39

    Thank You for the most detailed and reliable information. I’m located in Jensen Beach, FL, right in the path of Erika. I appreciate the work you do for us who could be in danger.

    Reply
  • DVG says:
    August 28, 2015 at 01:02

    Love your analysis. From Jax too. Don’t get much tv time in, but I hope you get paid.

    Reply
  • Farmer Jeb says:
    September 10, 2015 at 23:59

    Hi Levi. So grateful for your site. I’m new here so maybe I am doing or expecting something incorrectly. Here we are in mid-September and Erika still pops with your excellent analysis. Do I have to refresh or something or are you on vacation?

    Thanks

    –Farmer Jeb

    Reply
  • McDuck says:
    September 19, 2015 at 11:58

    Agree with Jeb above…do we need to do something else?

    Reply
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