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October 2015

Joaquin Now Less Likely to Hit the U.S., but Major Flooding will Occur Regardless

   Posted by Levi at 11:14pm on October 1, 2015




  • snow2fire says:

    Thank you for the insightful comments on Joaquin. I hope you’re doing well.

  • Carol Mahler says:

    Again, thank you Levi for your report on Joaquin, with the scientific material you always share! Hope things are going well for you!

  • Anonymous says:

    Nice job with the briefing!

  • Joe says:

    Large strong hurricanes tend to turn slowly, to move from a southwardly direction to a northerly one, doesn’t happen suddenly. My concerns, is the models will be off, and Joaquin will do something unexpected.

  • Lori says:

    Enjoy your bits of bits…. thanks for keeping us informed!

  • Reid says:

    OK, there was a little meat on the bone there.

    Of course, living in South Carolina and hearing that we’re about to have a one in 1000 year flood event, I had hoped for a bit more on that.

    Saying that this situation isn’t directly related to the tropics, doesn’t give me any comfort, when I am fairly sure that were it not for this monster hurricane sitting down there, this wouldn’t be happening to South Carolina.

    Are you saying that you don’t worry about the side effects of these systems or set ups?

    I realize that you may not be 100% today, or are a bit rushed on this one, but you might want to think a tiny bit about what you just said there.

    NOAA’s announcement today of the possibility of a one in a thousand year flood event, could stand a few more words.

    I say this with all due respect.

    • Levi says:

      The flooding event would happen without the hurricane, because the cut-off upper low was going to be there even if Joaquin hadn’t formed.

      I’m highlighting the flooding event in the videos even though it’s not related to Joaquin because it’s a significant and dangerous event. I don’t spend a lot of time on it because the video’s focus is on Joaquin, and flooding in the Carolinas is also not my area of expertise. That’s certainly not meant to downplay the event. This is a serious situation, and I said as much.

  • Lew Grimm says:

    Your work is greatly appreciated Levi.

    Just so you get a sense of the worth of it we have shared your link and thoughts with our customers here at Deltaville Yachting Center in Virginia’s Chesapeake Bay through the twice daily e-mails we send when we are threatened by these weather events.

    As a non-meteorologist, finding meaningful and understandable sources of information to channel to my customers is great!

    Having our customers well informed gives them a chance to make better decisions as to their boats. Thanks for taking the time to do this. I hope your efforts are recognized.


  • Mark says:

    Hi Levi,

    Perfect analysis as usual.
    You highlighted the European model first of anyone the other day and now it looks like it was spot on!
    It must be incredibly difficult to predict where a hurricane is going to go when it still has a 180 degree turn to make. So my hat is off to you once again!
    My boat is near Beaufort NC this year and after Gonzalo last year in St Martin I certainly don’t need another hurricane.

    But the decks will be washed. :)

  • Steve l says:

    You are the best!!

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