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September 2016

Watching Weak Disturbances Near Florida and Caribbean – Not Currently Threats

   Posted by Levi at 3:06pm on September 9, 2016

A small low pressure system has developed in the Florida Straits, moving toward the WNW. The tight circulation has some thunderstorms on its southeast side, but heavy wind shear is expected to hinder any development. The National Hurricane Center currently gives this disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a tropical storm. Showers may spread over the Florida Keys and extreme south Florida in association with this disturbance as it moves into the Gulf of Mexico.

Elsewhere…a tropical wave just north of the Lesser Antilles is expected to move WNW toward the Bahamas over the next few days. The NHC only gives this wave a 10% chance of development due to unfavorable upper-level winds.

A strong tropical wave in the central Atlantic has a good chance of eventually developing into a tropical storm as it moves north of the Lesser Antilles. The NHC gives this wave a 70% chance of development over the next 5 days, and it is not expected to be an imminent threat to land.




  • Rick Billings says:

    Thanks for posting, Levi. I was wondering how you’ve been doing since losing power due to Hermnine. Looks like that disturbance by the Florida Straits has a 40% chance of development according to the NHC.

  • Jdcomix says:

    It’s 40/40 now. Seems to have a decent chance at becoming TD 11.

  • kaiden says:

    Thanks for the updates Levi. Glad to see you made it through Hermine. I am guessing this was your first Hurricane, and to be in the eye what an experience.

  • cj38 says:

    Thank you, Levi. So glad you are back. And, that you finally have power.

  • Tommy says:

    Glad you have the power back. Looking forward to your video analysis again.

  • Greg goodman says:

    Hello levi I am glad you made it through hermine.Levi this is one weird hurricane season.

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