Latest Information from the National Hurricane Center
Levi, just want to say your videos are great; and you have a superb talent for analyzing numerous facets of atmospheric studies and hurricanes, as well as for communicating the highly technical trends and observations to the common man.
Came across this site about a week before Hermine became a hurricane and have been hooked since. Keep up the great work.
Now back to hurricane watching.
Hi Levi, as everyone notes your updates are incredible and indispensable. I donated 10 dollars to your efforts last night but I am wondering if you could give a general idea of costs you are incurring. Or just a preferred donation request amount. The national public radio begs for money yearly or quarterly; what amount from each viewer/consumer would help the most?
Tks . Been paying attn to this system for over a week nowm. Was looking like it was heading our way for a while (Newfoundland) but that blocking high and slower speed came into play. Prayers for ppl in Florida and stay safe out there.
Thanks Levi. I know I still have a rough night ahead, I’m feeling way better about it. I see your model graphics everywhere. You are becoming famous.
Our River Keeper Marty Baum recommended your site and I have been a fan ever since. You distill the data so that we weather neophytes can understand what is going on. Sincere admiration and thanks for your expertise.
From Orlando, big thanks! Your assessments are way more concise and you sound so much more professional than the guys on TV! You insert just enough detail to help understand what’s really going on. Keep up the great work!
Okay young man, just as I mentioned a few days ago, the storm is now widening potentially bringing Cat 1 hurricane force winds closer to the coast. Looks like some dry air intrusion occurred earlier this evening, with wind shear becoming a problem starting late tonight and into Friday, effectively HALTING any additional strengthening of storm. If storm does impact Gold Coast later tonight, that should also quickly put the Kabosh on any sustained wind speeds above 105 mph. Any further weakening will all depend on time it does stay on land. Bottom line, trend is everyone’s friend at this juncture, and the trend will be a slow weakening until and IF it hits eastern Florida Gold coast region, whereupon moderate weakening will ensue. Bottom line for those living in GA, and Carolinas, worst of the storm is occurring NOW. Look for high tides and continued storm surge ahead of storm to still be main threats (very difficult to dissipate this type of surge even if Hurricane weakens to low Cat 2 over next 12 hours). Good Luck FL, keep your heads down, and the Power ON!!!
Hope all is well with you and that you are not based in Florida. Some models are showing the possibility of Matthew looping back and affecting the panhandle once more.
This would be reminiscent of Ivan (c. 2004). Any comments on this scenario?
Latest Hurricane Center track is further East of previous tracks during the past 24-48 hours. If this forecast pans out, Florida MAY be effectively off the table for Hurricane landfall due to sloping Westward Ho nature of shoreline as your proceed North into GA. Look for continued slow weakening as storm proceeds North as Levi and other mets. have noted past few days with storm sucking up Continental dry air and encountering battering wind shear next several days. Okay, things looking MUCH BETTER for FL then just a few hours ago. Hopefully, the TREND will remain our FRIEND. Sleep tight Florida and yes the Sun will come out tomorrow for many of you!!
Vic, only scenario I’ve been watching past few days is both GFS and European models showing a nice Clockwise loop after it reaches SC, completing the loop somewhere between West Palm Beach and Miami area (albeit as a low grade Hurricane or TS).
Your site is awesome, thank you so much. I need all your explanations that I do not hear anywhere else.
Great dissertation as always. What is the 5 day track look like? Do you think it will loop around back into the Gulf and eventually into Mexico as a L pressure system? Or…..?
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