Thanks Levi, you always bring clarity to offset the local mets “hair on fire approach”. Slightly Southwest of Houston here, went through Harvey with no flooding, hope this system brings NO WHERE near that type of rainfall.
I only wish u did more videos Levi. I always learn so much from you. go noles!
Fantastic breakdown as always, love to hear the technical side of things, and you do a great job explaining what the models are showing and how different scenarios play out. This will definitely be one to watch.
Given that the GFS was reportedly upgraded a month ago (FV3-based GFS), are you surprised at this point about the degree of disagreement between the new GFS and the reigning champ Euro model for this forecast scenario?
Fantastic tropical update. 👏🏾👏🏾👏🏾
Very nice. I have learned a lot from your videos. I hope that I can be a meteorologist on day at NOAA!
Good job Levi
Thank you so much. Your videos always provide me with clarity: even if the track is uncertain, I very much appreciate your candid, logical explanation of why that it is.
Tuesday mid-day. Just joined and watched your Monday blog. Watching dark sky on my iphone it appears the GFS model prediction os far is the winner. Time will tell…
As a FL resident for 22+ years I was a winderground fanatic for all the years they existed – so sorry they sold out to that conglomerate – turned weather into an advertising mop. Keep up the good work
I think it will become a tropical storm or even a hurricane because the Gulf is 30-31 degrees Centigrade. People should evacuate just in case
I recommend Mark Sudduth at Hurricanetrack.com
Typo: I recommend you watch Mark Sudduth on Youtube and at Hurricanetrack.com
Good Job Levi! What does your Tuesday prediction look like?
Rainy hazy humid gulf states for a few days. Then we can go back to raily hazy humid days till October!!
:) Indeed. :)
Please do another video tonight…thank you… I learned a lot from yesterday’s video!
Oh yeah! Please do an other video. I love your videos, and now model guidance has slightly shifted to the East!
Levi look’s like TAE NWS FCST Discussion says it all…
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
428 PM EDT TUE JUL 9 2019
.NEAR AND SHORT TERM [TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT]…
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE
REGION THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS, INFLUENCED BY THE ELONGATED
UPPER LOW OVER THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG DAYTIME HEATING
AND PWATS EXCEEDING 2 INCHES ACROSS THE REGION WILL YIELD WIDESPREAD
STORM COVERAGE THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID-EVENING HOURS BEFORE STORMS
DISSIPATE. A BRIEF LULL IN STORMS IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PROPAGATE INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT. THE NORMAL LAND-BREEZE CIRCULATING BACK
OUT TO THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL PROVIDE FAVORABLE CONVERGENCE FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AROUND THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER. THIS,
COUPLED WITH ANONYMOUSLY WARM GULF OF MEXICO TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY YIELD IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM INTO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION OR STORM IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE
DAY WEDNESDAY. HI-RES MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN
INDICATING ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SOUTH OF THE LOW CENTER
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. INCREASED SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER LAND WILL
ENHANCE THE SEA-BREEZE ON WEDNESDAY, YIELDING BANDS OF EFFICIENT
RAINFALL PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION.
STORMS WILL HAVE DECENT FORWARD MOTIONS, CUTTING DOWN ON RAINFALL
TOTALS ACROSS THE AREA.
THE TIMING OF A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHING ACROSS THE LOWER
AND MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ALONG WITH THE POSITION OF THE BERMUDA
HIGH TO THE EAST AND RETREATING RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST TO THE EAST
WILL BE KEY FACTORS IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM INTO THE
down here in biloxi, Ms. Thanks for the update! looking for an update from you hopefully Wednesday.
What happens up there affects us down here in Bonaire often as a full wind reversal. Will be waiting for your next update.
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