Any chance it doesn’t re-organize over the Western Caribbean? That whole area has been cloud covered and I assume lots of rain as Et a first crossed thru there, about 6 days ago. Possible that and upwelling have lowered water temps here?
I’m too lazy to come up with a response, but the ocean heat content is here: https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/ohc_natl.html
I don’t think so, it moved over the southern part of the Caribbean, not the western part.
Love the insights! Feel like I’m learning from how you explain things. When can we hope for your next update? Would enjoy insights into what’s at play right now to help frame understanding as things unfold, even with the uncertainty that is inherent in this type of situation.
Do you think it becomes TS next advisory? Recon found SFMR’s of over 34 kts
3 PM CST advisory by the NHC 35mph, 1002 mb, and a center relocation to the south, TS warnings are issued for parts of Cuba
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