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October 2016

[Wednesday Morning] Major Hurricane Matthew Moving into the Bahamas – Hurricane Warnings for Florida

   Posted by Levi at 3:35pm on October 5, 2016

Latest Information from the National Hurricane Center




  • Ozzie says:

    Thank you Levi. I am in the middle of Miami dade county so we are watching closely. I keep seeing what to me looks like a movement slitghtly west of north west on the satélite images. Makes us worry cause the center moving just slightly more west and we could be in the path.
    Looking forward to your next post.

    • Owen says:

      Lived in Kendall during Betsy when I was a kid. Stayed in my grandparents house on Biscayne Bay because they had full shutters.I’ll never forget the bay going over the sea wall and working up to the house, and they had a big yard.

  • Waylon Garcia says:

    So the models are now showing a total turn around and heading into the gulf after all? Is this going to be the Ivan of this season? The one that just won’t go away..

  • Jonny P says:

    Best overall explanation without the hype – glad I found this website! We in Charleston are getting a bit nervous…hang in there Florida.

  • Jay says:

    Could Matthew turn around and go into the Gulf of Mexico like Hurricane Betsy did in September 1965?

    • Levi says:

      It’s still too early to speculate about the potential looping track. The good news is that Matthew would likely weaken significantly during such a loop.

  • todd says:

    Great update! Question from southern NC beach: due to the size and strength of Matthew, it surprises me that we would not see any longer period groundswell before Friday. I’d be totally surprised if the Bahama islands would block all the swell until Matthew got north of them, but is that the case?

    • Levi says:

      I’m not an expert on how surge and waves interact with the Bahamas, but large waves are expected to reach the Carolina coastlines by late Thursday and early Friday.

  • Frankie Bananas says:

    Levi, as so many others have mentioned, I too wish to thank you for your time and efforts to keep us all informed. You cannot know how helpful your commentary is.

    As a longtime Floridian who remembers 2004 all to well, I have learned that 125 mph wind is a fairly stiff breeze and needs to treated with it’s due respect.

    I wanted to make mention of an important part of making your home as hurricane ready as it can be. Secure your garage door! I donated part of my roof to Hurricane Charley, largely because my garage door was compromised.

    Your garage then becomes a big sail and it’s function then is to catch hurricane force winds. It can, and it will peel your roof back like the lid off a can of sardines.

    For those in the path, take great care and we’ll see each other on the other side. And no, you can’t borrow my chain saw! Best wishes to all.

  • Chris says:

    Is the possibility of a northeast or midatlantic hit completely off the table now? Or could that trough come in stronger than expected?

    • Levi says:

      As I said in the video, it is not off the table, but less likely now.

      • Chris says:

        Thanks. I didn’t have a chance to watch the whole video at work. I appreciate you answering me specially, though!

  • Barrett says:

    Quick Question – May be a dumb one but…. Do the models account for land interaction? The storm currently has circulation dragging along Cuba does this pull the storm west any?

    • Levi says:

      Yes they do, but Matthew is no longer interacting with Cuba. It would matter more if the eye itself was close to the Cuban coast.

  • Amanda says:

    What are the chances of an expanding Wingfield? I know we expect it to intensify but will it stay fairly compact?

  • Theodore says:

    Could the trough above the Mid-Atlantic states strengthen and draw it upwards, thus creating a situation similar to Hazel in 1954?

    • Levi says:

      As I said in the video, that scenario is becoming less likely as time goes on, but folks up there should keep a wary eye on the forecast just in case it shifts back.

  • Pat says:

    Will there be another update tonight? Watching and worried from Cocoa Beach. Thanks for all you do!

  • Tonia Stinson says:

    Getting worried in Tampa, I like your no nonsense approach, do you feel it could reach Tampa?

    • Levi says:

      Right now the Tampa area is forecast to be on the western edge of Matthew, but tropical storm conditions could be possible in the region. Keep up with what National Weather Service Tampa is saying.

  • Theodore says:

    Latest Euro shows the track more northward over Cape Hatteras

  • Navysurfer says:

    HI Levi,

    Again big shout out to you for the great info, what a storm,I have daughter in Miami in collage, told her to get the heck out, asap, already gas stations running out of fuel.

    Hope to goodness it does not track over the state to where I am , Sarasota, Fl.

    My heart goes out to the poor people in Haiti and Cuba, anxiously await your update,



  • Anonymous says:

    Thanks from Satellite Beach

  • Jay says:

    It’s been almost eleven and a half to twelve years since Florida had had a major impact from a hurricane. Some to most people there
    do not realize what could happen.

  • Austin says:

    I live in Palm Beach County and this storm is going right over us. We’re expecting 120-125 mph gusts in the area. You won’t believe the 5 pm update. Its gonna hit us a second time.

  • Andrew says:

    The 12Z Euro and the 18Z GFS have moved northward some, with the Euro bring the northern of the two. Maybe this is a new evolving trend…

  • jim says:

    Damn not one global warming post yet! You guys are off your game. Guess that’s because it has been so long since a weather related natural disaster. You’ll probably let us know it was a man made natural disaster next Tuesday when you can be sure of your prediction. You are learning, wait till the event has happened before you predict doom and gloom (see 1970’s ice age). You’re way smarter then I thought.

  • jim says:

    Levi – great analysis and explanation on the steering mechanisms. Thanks for the all the detailed information in one place, great job.

  • Anonymous says:

    Hey Levi,
    Thank you so much for your great videos and explanations. I’m south of Orlando and things aren’t looking the best right now. We won’t get the worst of what Matthew has to offer but it wil certainly be a punch. I’ll keep tuning in. Barb

  • Military says:

    Any updates on for Orlando Levi? I just moved back to Florida a year ago and I’m kinda worried? I live out by Chickasaw trail.

  • Teresa Davis says:

    Thank you Levi! This is a wonderful website and a beautifully designed interactive platform. It’s so very helpful! You’re a go to in our families arsenal of weather data and updates! Heartfelt thanks and much gratitude for the work you’re doing 🙂

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