Que probabilidades ahí de que el viento en altura en el caribe oriental disminuyan o cambien de dirección a favor de la depresión tropical??
Using Google translate, your question is:
“What is the probability that the high wind in the eastern Caribbean will decrease or change direction in favor of the tropical depression?”
The trade winds are expected to remain strong in the eastern Caribbean, which, in combination with the upper trough, should greatly increase wind shear and cause the storm to weaken after entering the Caribbean.
Yes by the look of the Africa wave 3 hot towers fired oup near its center, i think it will get named as a tropical storm before leeward Islands.Rain might be intense for a short time as well.
Have been watching your videos for the last couple of years. Very informative. Love the in-depth analysis. Much appreciated.
I’ve signed on as Patreon patron at $10 recurring. This is to help get you to get to the funding level for the new server, which without a doubt you will need as more demands are placed on it during peak hurricane season as more and more people learn of your website and Youtube Channel. I’ll be registering on your website momentarily.
– Mark Spann
Great work as usual.
If 92L does go on to be a named storm before the expected unfavourable conditions begins to inhibit further development, I believe it will be a first (1851 – 2015). And by that I mean there has not been a named system forming in this area during the period June 11 – 20.
I am taking my data from the NHC and the two links are provided below.
Does your information corroborate this?
PS: The locals would pronounce Tobago as ‘To-bay-go’ and not ‘To-baa-go’.
As a maritime license Master (Captain) I’ve been watching your videos for at least the last 5 years, and I have found them to be very informative. Living on the Northern Gulf Coast, and working on vessels from the east coast, Gulf of Mexico, and in the Caribbean I always look for all the information I can find (including the NHC), and your website is at the top of my list.
Thank you for the work you put into it Levi…
I would like to know why recently tropical storms are in such close proximity to an upper level low? Joaquin was another example. Along with countless others too many to name in the past few years. Please Levi if you could explain this, it would be much appreciated. Great video. Thanks.
Also not to mention it has been happening with winter storms as well, the upper low will not phase with the surface low, happened this past winter with the slop storm we had here in NYC in march. Instead the surface low will sort of fujiwhara around the upper low. Is that not strange to happen so often?
As always… thanks Levi for your analysis and forecast…. Helps a lot
Thank you very much for the videos you make. We’re in Bonaire Dutch Caribbean keeping a close eye on this system.
Hello and thank you so much for your accurate and thorough reports. I would like to know if you will be posting another video report anytime soon. I’m in Trinidad and Tobago (specifically Tobago). Would love to hear what your thoughts are as of now regarding Potential Tropical Cyclone #2 and how will it affect these islands. THANK YOU!
On a Supply vessel in the Gulf near 27 N 90 W . HH Aircraft passed right over us enroute to 93-L. Waiting to see if my untrained eye was correct in seeing beginnings of a COC on sat loop. Thanks for a great site, Levi. Your patreon acct will gladly get a donation from me when we get back to the dock.
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