• Current Storms
  • Aircraft Recon
  • Satellite Imagery
  • Forecast Models
  • Analysis Tools
  • About
Register | Login | Settings
Support this site:

patreon
Add our blog feed to your favorite reader.

Advertisement

Recent Posts

  • [Thursday Evening] Storm Forming in Gulf of Mexico; Storm Surge Flooding Threat to Western Florida
  • [Monday Evening] Jerry Passing Close to Bermuda; Karen Weak and Approaching Puerto Rico
  • [Thursday Evening] Jerry Strengthening but Expected to Pass North of Caribbean
  • Imelda and TD10 Form
  • [Friday Evening] TD9 Forms – Primarily Rain-Maker for Northern Bahamas

Posts by Date

September 2018
S M T W T F S
« Aug   Oct »
 1
2345678
9101112131415
16171819202122
23242526272829
30  

Archives

  • October 2019
  • September 2019
  • August 2019
  • July 2019
  • June 2019
  • October 2018
  • September 2018
  • August 2018
  • July 2018
  • May 2018
  • October 2017
  • September 2017
  • August 2017
  • July 2017
  • June 2017
  • November 2016
  • October 2016
  • September 2016
  • August 2016
  • July 2016
  • June 2016
  • May 2016
  • October 2015
  • September 2015
  • August 2015
  • July 2015
  • June 2015
  • May 2015
  • February 2015
  • October 2014
  • September 2014
  • August 2014
  • July 2014
  • June 2014
  • May 2014
  • March 2014
  • October 2013
  • September 2013
  • August 2013
  • July 2013
  • June 2013
  • May 2013
  • April 2013
  • March 2013
  • December 2012
  • October 2012
  • September 2012
  • August 2012
  • July 2012
  • June 2012
  • May 2012
  • March 2012
  • February 2012
  • January 2012
  • December 2011
  • November 2011
  • October 2011
  • September 2011

[Sunday Evening] Florence Still Expected to Hit Southeast U.S.; Isaac a Threat to Lesser Antilles; Olivia to Hit Hawaii

   Posted by Levi at 5:31pm on September 9, 2018

Latest Information on All Storms from the National Hurricane Center


29 comments

« Previous Entry   Next Entry »

Comments

  • Aniel says:
    September 9, 2018 at 17:42

    Now…I hope everyone in North Carolina and other areas gets help and asks for help to evacuate out of any danger zones and have safety!

    Reply
  • Anonymous says:
    September 9, 2018 at 17:43

    Daniel

    Reply
  • Chris says:
    September 9, 2018 at 18:10

    Sitting here on Topsail Island, hoping she starts taking that northeasterly turn as she grows stronger.

    Reply
  • Scott says:
    September 9, 2018 at 18:11

    I hope everyone in North Carolina gets through this!!!! better get gas and batteries now !!!!! going through Irma last year has no fun at all !!!!

    Reply
  • Bob says:
    September 9, 2018 at 19:09

    Thanks for your great work!

    I notice the GFS models (Sunday, Sept. 9, 5pm EDT), are noticeably north of the NHC track. Any idea why this difference/bias exists between the two sets of data? Have the GFS models been more accurate than the NHC model in the past?

    Reply
    • Levi says:
      September 9, 2018 at 19:51

      The NHC is not a model. It is the official forecast created by professionals synthesizing data from observations and many models together, including the GFS. The official forecast tends to outperform any single model, on average.

      Reply
  • RitaEvac says:
    September 9, 2018 at 19:13

    Carolinas and Virginia better be watching out for any stall after landfall. Could be same setup as Harvey event in SE TX

    Reply
  • Peter says:
    September 9, 2018 at 19:38

    Potential worst-case for the southern Appalachian mountains..flash flooding, landslides, river flooding. The EC rainfall numbers are basically unprecedented..hope that changes.

    Reply
  • Spring Griffin says:
    September 9, 2018 at 19:58

    Going home to union county nc (that’s in the path) I will be leaving Carolina beach nc. I pray we can get through this. I remember going through Hugo when I was 18.not looking forward to this ride.

    Reply
  • Nancy Catania says:
    September 9, 2018 at 21:19

    Levi, thanks for all you do! Question: is climate change and melting of Arctic ice have anything to do with warm Atlantic Ocean temperatures and the high intensity of this storm?

    Reply
    • Anonymous says:
      September 10, 2018 at 13:08

      They’ve been melting the Antarctic ice since the 50’s when they declared the Antarctica Treaty.

      Reply
  • Nancy Catania says:
    September 9, 2018 at 21:20

    Levi, thanks for all you do! Question: is climate change and melting of Arctic ice have anything to do with warm Atlantic Ocean temperatures and the high intensity of this storm?

    Reply
  • Stefano says:
    September 9, 2018 at 21:24

    This guy has his desk at NHC with his name on it ready, great job as always bro

    Reply
  • Ken says:
    September 9, 2018 at 21:44

    Thanks Levi! We’re planning on cutting our OBX stay short & will retreat north Weds morning.

    Reply
  • Troy says:
    September 9, 2018 at 21:53

    Nice job. I’m hoping for a little more of a technical explanation, so that the why questions are answered during the course of sharing your personal thoughts. Thank you

    Reply
  • Jackie says:
    September 9, 2018 at 21:53

    Good explanation, Levi. Much appreciated. It’s going to be hell week for the States. I’ve already signed up to work FEMA.

    Reply
  • Daniel says:
    September 9, 2018 at 23:03

    Florence’s satellite appearance has continued to improve quite
    markedly since the previous advisory. An eye was evident in GOES-16
    high-resolution infrared imagery and other channels between
    2300-0000 UTC, but it became cloud covered immediately thereafter
    due to a strong burst of deep convection in the southern and eastern
    eyewall where cloud tops colder than -80C and an abundance of
    lightning activity was observed. Since that time, the CDO has
    expanded and become more circular, outflow has increased and become
    more symmetrical, and an eye has begun to re-appear.

    Reply
  • jacob says:
    September 10, 2018 at 06:31

    it will make landfall in sc maby

    Reply
  • okeetee says:
    September 10, 2018 at 06:32

    From my educated expert guess it looks to me that this Hurricane is going to come on shore in the Myrtle Beach area or points further north, cleaning out that Biker Gang, pot smoking, tattooed freak town, bringing in lots of Federal money and Federal troops. South of Charleston, SC this will be just a wind and rain event, with winds less than 25 miles per hour and rain fall less than 5 inches with probably very few power outages. The worst thing a person could do is evacuate inland where this storm is going to stall or slow down and drown everything in sight! If someone was inclined to evacuate there best bet would be to head toward Florida and stay close to the coast. Now, have I nailed this thing down to a science or what?

    Reply
    • Alchemist says:
      September 10, 2018 at 07:29

      Nope you haven’t..

      Reply
      • Okeetee says:
        September 11, 2018 at 15:37

        Gee, I hate being right all the time! They rescinded the evacuation notice before noon today. Oh, and the Weather Channel girl mispronounced “Beaufort”. It’s Beaufort, SC and Bowford, NC although it’s spelled the same!

        Reply
  • Michael Rosenblum says:
    September 10, 2018 at 08:32

    Levi, why do you think the NHC has stuck with a more GFS based track when European model has been (I think) much more accurate in the last few years. I live right around where European model predicting landfall on midnight version. Here’s to hoping GFS is right. . .

    Reply
    • Lisa says:
      September 10, 2018 at 17:24

      If you are anywhere near where this storm will make landfall, I would get out now. Katrina forced a 28 ft. storm surge in 2 miles from the coast all along the coast of Mississippi. 2 miles. This storm surge will probably be every bit as bad as Katrina, maybe worse, as the shallow shelf of the Carolinas is very similar to Mississippi’s coastline. Also, I see where other posters have said they will head out Wednesday morning from the danger zone. With millions of people trying to get out, tomorrow morning at the latest will keep you from getting stuck in monstrous traffic jams. The way this storm is moving, effects will start hitting the coast Wednesday morning. Take it from someone who has been through Camille, Betsy, Katrina, Rita and Gustav. Get out now! And be sure you have a couple of 5 gallon gas cans in your trunk.

      Reply
  • Gerry says:
    September 10, 2018 at 10:56

    Are so many hurricanes/storms at the same time a record? Does anyone know what the record is for simultaneous storms and hurricanes?

    Reply
  • Santina says:
    September 10, 2018 at 11:18

    Hi Levi…when will you post today’s update?

    Reply
    • Anonymous says:
      September 10, 2018 at 18:15

      When he posts it.

      Reply
  • Daniel says:
    September 10, 2018 at 13:56

    I have to post that the GFS 12 noon future millibar forecast has 899 mb at peak on Florence which correlates to very high winds in the Atlantic of over 180 mph, considerably higher than at the 6 am GFS! Everyone prepare early and stay safe!

    Reply
  • jacob says:
    September 10, 2018 at 15:41

    now the say va will get some

    Reply
  • Scott says:
    September 10, 2018 at 17:34

    Can you discuss what the new player is regarding the disturbance in the northwest caribbean and how that will figure into Florences movement. Also, can you discuss the effect of the disturbance, where it’s going and if will spawn into a new tropical system as NHC has 50% formation within 5 days and entering into the GOM where LA and TX could be a target.
    thanks

    Reply
  • Leave a Reply (comments from first-time posters are moderated) Cancel reply

    Your email address will not be published.

    Basic HTML is allowed.



    Register and login to post comments easier:

  • Register
    • Login

    Post Archives:

    • October 2019
    • September 2019
    • August 2019
    • July 2019
    • June 2019
    • October 2018
    • September 2018
    • August 2018
    • July 2018
    • May 2018
    • October 2017
    • September 2017
    • August 2017
    • July 2017
    • June 2017
    • November 2016
    • October 2016
    • September 2016
    • August 2016
    • July 2016
    • June 2016
    • May 2016
    • October 2015
    • September 2015
    • August 2015
    • July 2015
    • June 2015
    • May 2015
    • February 2015
    • October 2014
    • September 2014
    • August 2014
    • July 2014
    • June 2014
    • May 2014
    • March 2014
    • October 2013
    • September 2013
    • August 2013
    • July 2013
    • June 2013
    • May 2013
    • April 2013
    • March 2013
    • December 2012
    • October 2012
    • September 2012
    • August 2012
    • July 2012
    • June 2012
    • May 2012
    • March 2012
    • February 2012
    • January 2012
    • December 2011
    • November 2011
    • October 2011
    • September 2011

    Jump to the top of this page


    Copyright © 2012-2019 Tropical Tidbits, All Rights Reserved.
    Contact info: levicowan@tropicaltidbits.com