Wow, I have never seen a storm take such a right turn and stay off-shore before. I have been watching some of the tracts that have been projected and honestly I thought they were nuts. Obviously those folks know a lot more than me! Thanks for all your awesome posts for each storm that affects North America. I live in New Brunswick, CA the province just north of Maine Several times in the past few years your warnings have been incredibly accurate and helped me and my relatives and friends prepare for storms that affect us even this far north.
Bahamas haven’t recovered too well from Dorian last year. 2020 just keeps on giving.
Hi Dan, from Gagetown (in N.B.).
It is always a bit disconcerting to see a track targeting a person’s house (apparently!), but perhaps the jet stream will push it enough to the East to spare us this time.
I’ve visited your site for years but not being through a Hurricane or Tropical Storm before (I moved to SWFL right after Irma hit here), I visit your page daily during Hurricane season. I realize the track is never set in stone, but any possible idea of what to expect on the SW coast? Thinking still possible trop winds or could it be even possible we just get rain and light winds to nothing.
should be very pleasant. The storm will pull moisture, as we will be on the dry side of the storm, so SW FL should be lower humidity. Nice weekend ahead!
Thank you again this year for your awesome videos! You are my favorite source for hurricane information outside of the NHC. I don’t have cable, so no weather channel for me. But that is probably a good thing. To repetitive and sensational. I don’t particularly care for Weather Tiger either because he seems to enjoy dramatics a bit too much. You do so well with explaining things in a way that is easy for most to understand, while indulging my nerdiness a bit lol…
Excellent update as always Levi. Being on the barrier island on the Space Coast we have been following you for years! You have a no nonsense approach we appreciate. And being on the Space Coast, we are watching maybe a little more closely than usual since the SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule Endeavor is scheduled to be returning our astronauts from the space station for a Sunday splashdown.
Thank you for the clarification of the Euro model reasons for it’s westward bias.
Enlightening and informative as usual.
Always informative. I donated and encourage others to do so to support your efforts to inform without the drama. Thank you Levi
Your commentary is invaluable and greatly appreciated. The apparent fact that three days before landfall in CONUS there is no clarity about location or intensity is truly amazing to me. Yesterday they had it going into the Gulf, today it’s going to Hatteras. Why even bother? Millions of people are terrorized by predictions that have practically no credibility.
Those of us making forecasts go to great pains to communicate the unavoidable uncertainty with hurricanes, but we also stress the things that we do know with confidence. When this particular video was recorded, we didn’t know all the details of what will happen (spoiler: nobody ever does – predicting the future is hard). However, we know more than we did yesterday, and we will know more tomorrow. It’s all about informing people of the possible risks to their lives and property so that they can stay as safe as possible. The best thing people can do is stay informed so that they can react if necessary. During the hurricane season, there will be a lot of “possible threats within 5 days,” and some of them won’t come to pass, but some of them will. It’s best to be informed and prepared just in case. Better safe than sorry.
Thank You Levi, as always, a great presentation. Always great explanation as to what the storm is doing and why. Keeping my swivel eye on things from Hollywood,Fl. I’m hoping for an early turn out to sea. Please, everyone stay safe.
I found you last year and have shared your site with many. As everyone has stated, you are a blessing and we all appreciate what you do for all of us very much. THANK YOU! We absolutely do not use any other source for our storm updates and information.
Thank you as always!
You should do wave forecasting too! You are a great teacher… the way you explain everything makes it fascinating! It’s been so much fun learning all the weather and atmosphere factors that come into play when forecasting. Thankyou for doing this😁
Jetstream will push harder in the Northeast of Canada.
Thank you for this important information and all of your hard work! I’m sharing your page with all my friends and family in Florida.
Thanks Levi, a wet, windy night in Turks and Caicos. Not much thunder and lightening, wind ok (after Irma, anything below a cat5 is good) but lots and lots of rain so some flooding in the usual low lying areas. Power stayed on all night, which is impressive. Was able to sleep after seeing your report! Thanks again.
Hi Jenni – glad to hear from you in the Turks and Caicos. Stay safe out there!
I love and appreciate you so much Levi! Thanks for all you do. I learn so much from your work!
I’m curious why the Euro has the storm moving at @ 20 mph while the GFS has the storm moving at nearly 30 mph and though both tracks are very similar as are apparently the dynamics; the time of passage for points along the east coast is @ 18 hours apart.
What explains this large variation in timing when everything else seems, at least to the untutored observer; to be remarkably similar?
Why your thorough, hyperbole-free, level headed, common sense discussions don’t air on the 6:00 national news is beyond me. This is THE place to be re: all things tropical, hands down.
…From Schoharie County in NY, where some have still not fully recovered from the 2011 battering from T.S. Irene (retired), and the remnants of Lee about a week later.
(And is it me, or is Isaias’ projected track eerily close to Irene’s?)
I always check in during The Season, even if I don’t comment. I’ve shared your site with quite a few folks. Good info here.
Looks like things in Charleston might get a bit fraught Sun/Mon. Oh. Yay.
The 12Z global models have for the most part all trended west. Am starting to think that perhaps Isaias will take a track through east central NC, MD, western NJ, and up the Hudson River – kind of an echo of Fay. The offshore track looking less likely if I can read the models correctly.
The valley of jetstream over Texas will pull the hurricane to the east coast of the US.
Where’s our July 31st update Levi? *insert crying emoji* We about to get hit by this thing man. I need a Tropical Tidbit update.
Yes indeed. Thanks for all the past great stuff. But what have you done for us tonight LOL? J/K
He posted a youtube link from his Twitter account.
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