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August 2016

[Thursday Evening] Invest 99L Very Disorganized – Still a Potential Threat, but Development, if any, Likely to be Slow

   Posted by Levi at 10:00pm on August 25, 2016




  • Hoth says:

    Though I don’t like Hurricanes I do like how you break down the information. It makes it so much easier to understand.

  • Rick Billings says:

    Very interesting video, Levi. Thanks for explaining the development aspects of this invest.

  • Lisa from Louisiana says:

    I have only recently discovered your webpage, Levi, but I really like the way you go into details without throwing a bunch of meteorlogical terms at the viewer.

    This is great. I have been telling all of my friends down here who are in the midst of flood recovery to go to your page and watch your latest videos.


  • Aaron says:

    Why are there so many different areas of low pressure with this storm? I see an area of vorticity around Jamaica and another south of Dominican Republic. Why is it a storm like Gaston can survive shear and get stronger in 30kt shear but this storm cannot? Why is it every storm recently that showed a US hit on models has turned out a lot like this. How many times recently have we seen an upper level low shear or kick out a system?

    • Levi says:

      Every disturbance/storm is different, and 99L also moved through an area of the Atlantic that is historically difficult to develop in: the eastern Caribbean and the vicinity of Hispaniola. It hasn’t had enough “umph” so far.

  • Fego says:

    Great as always Levi. Your page deserves yo be supported $.

  • Fego says:

    * to be*

  • jaytami says:

    Your explanations are clear and concise and we have been glad we found your page.

    Sent you a little, hope it helps

  • ossqss says:

    It has been quite amazing to watch the divergence in modeling the last week on this system. All of them different and many of the 3 categories apart at times at landfall. Hopefully the data from the hunters can help fill the obvious void in understanding genesis in situations like this. I still wonder of the Fiona remnants impact.

    Nice summation once again Levi!

  • Jeremy Montague says:

    Thanks, Levi… as usual, concise & understandable!

  • larrye says:

    New member here. Clearly you are a very bright and talented guy, Levi. Great videos and explanations!

  • Bryan says:

    Thanks for the great analysis. I watch a lot of weather – Your is on my favorites bookmark.

  • Anonymous says:

    Thanks Levi! Great analysis as always.

    Been falling you for at least 5 to 6 years or longer on the WU and Tropical Tidbits.

    Cat Adjuster, Reno NV

  • J says:

    I started becoming a weather nut with Storm ’97 following Hurricane Georges then they recently discontinued the site a few years ago.

    I don’t know why there hasn’t been a major Hurricane in the GOM since Wilma in 2005, but could the insurance companies have anything to do with the storm ratings? I still believe there was big hurricanes in the years following, that was never declared a hurricane, or a major one.

  • Nick says:

    What do you think about the consistency on the HWRF blowing up a monster in the gulf. I know that the HWRF is known to overdo these things. But it’s initialization seems reasonable with a weak open wave and it has been doing this for multiple runs now.

  • jaytami says:

    Nick, Levi…

    IIRC, KATRINA was nothing until right before it crossed Fla, then it really blew up in the Gulf. I’m having flashbacks. Someone tell me what is different with 99L… please…

    • Levi says:

      99L is far less organized than Katrina was in this location, and has less favorable conditions available to it. If 99L is going to develop, it will take a lot of time to do so, but it could still become a storm in the gulf. It remains rather uncertain.

      • jaytami says:

        Thank you, Levi

      • J says:

        Katrina was a nightmare, it was supposed to hit the panhandle of Florida, but she kept going south, southwest, and nobody knew why, In my heart I knew she was lining up with Biloxi. And she was. Katrina blew the forecasts, she didn’t go where she was expected to, and did what she wasn’t expected to do. 11 years later the post traumatic stress remains for many.

  • lucyperez011 says:

    Very nice work, Levi. You have a real talent in synopsis of situations. You’ll go far. I’ll be sharing your page.

  • Navysurfer says:

    New to the site, Fantastic, I have sailboat on Mooring in Sarasota, weather is so important to me, as with others.

    Again thank you for all your hard work.


  • Harrycane says:

    Thank You for your insight Levi !!

  • Lisa says:

    As always, you’re the best, Levi! 🙂 Thank you for all your hard work!

    Fyi, for your Bahamian audience, Abaco is pronounced AB’-uh-CO.

    Please know you’re VERY appreciated! 🙂

    – Lisa

  • Billby says:

    Levi, how do you update your website? There is available huge information on your page, and surely it takes time to update all information. But your page is amazingly updated. My good wishes to you for a bright career ahead.

  • NOLAGIRL61 says:

    Still so scared that I am making myself sick! Here in New Orleans, PTS is so very real- TD9 ias me actually crying!!! I hate this. NOLAGIRL61

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