A small low pressure system has developed in the Florida Straits, moving toward the WNW. The tight circulation has some thunderstorms on its southeast side, but heavy wind shear is expected to hinder any development. The National Hurricane Center currently gives this disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a tropical storm. Showers may spread over the Florida Keys and extreme south Florida in association with this disturbance as it moves into the Gulf of Mexico.
Elsewhere…a tropical wave just north of the Lesser Antilles is expected to move WNW toward the Bahamas over the next few days. The NHC only gives this wave a 10% chance of development due to unfavorable upper-level winds.
A strong tropical wave in the central Atlantic has a good chance of eventually developing into a tropical storm as it moves north of the Lesser Antilles. The NHC gives this wave a 70% chance of development over the next 5 days, and it is not expected to be an imminent threat to land.