[Wednesday] – Tropical Disturbance Still Expected to Bring Heavy Rainfall to SE US Beginning this Weekend
The tropical disturbance in the Caribbean is still expected to bring extra rain to the southeast U.S. from Louisiana to Florida, likely beginning by Saturday. Note that frequent afternoon/evening rain is already occurring in these areas due to a moist air mass that has persisted since last week. The disturbance will move northward into the Gulf of Mexico and generate more consistent heavy rainfall, potentially for several days, as it will be moving slowly.
The National Hurricane Center now gives a 60% chance of subtropical or tropical cyclone formation within the next 5 days. However, the potential for flooding due to heavy rains will occur even if the disturbance does not develop, so be prepared for excess rainfall into next week. Your local National Weather Service office will have more specific details for your local area as the event nears.
I may have a video update tonight or tomorrow.
Forecast Additional Rainfall for Next 5 Days: