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September 2022

[Friday evening] Fiona nearing Canada; TD9 Expected to Threaten Western Caribbean and Southeast U.S.

   Posted by Levi at 6:18pm on September 23, 2022




  • Steven Staudt says:

    Levi thank you for a great explanation of what TD-9 is going to do and why! Still lots of possibilities for Florida landfall.

  • chris evans says:

    It will be interesting to see which checks out GFS Big Bend or Euro near Miami. The GFS has been so erratic this season. 5-6 storms that never panned out and constant flip flops on tracks. So this storm will be another test for it. The GFS does not seem to notice the cooler air pressing from the west next week. I think the EURO shows this correctly. The GFS did too a few runs ago then…

  • Hoff511 says:

    Thanks Levi!

    I am safe and sound in Minnesota now, but you were a guiding light throughout my whole time in Florida. Being in the eye of three hurricanes shortly after moving to Florida gave me the great inspiration for my learning about tropical meteorology. You taught me. I can never thank you enough.

  • Joshua Light says:

    Thanks Levi- Can you discuss in one of your upcoming posts regarding the differences in land interaction based on the different topography of Cuba. It seems like the Western half of Cuba doesn’t present as much of a challenge to storms as the eastern half.

  • Nick says:

    Thanks!! We always appreciate your non-sensational and scientific take

  • Leslie says:

    Thank you. Very well explained.

  • Anonymous says:

    I’m watching the convection explode more southernly right now. I wonder if the storm is being pulled south like you mentioned was possible and trying to align there? It will be interesting to see where the center is in the AM,

  • Alexis says:

    Interesting, I learned a lot about tropical storm Ian and on how it going to move in the next few days.

  • tilted_planet says:

    Thank you very much for the insight. I look at a lot of sources, but you put it all together for me.

  • Brian Teasley says:

    As of 18Z (noon EST?) on the 24th, the “model track guidance” spaghetti plot shows the storm will hit FL no further south in Florida than Tampa. The “average” prediction is closer to the panhandle. Yet, the NOAA NHC cone plot says the center could still go as far south as Key West and/or Naples, which are much further south.

    Anyone offer an explanation?

  • Jim Gilpin says:

    Hey Levi

    Great job on your website. I’ve been a fan for years and a first-time commenter.

    TS-Ian will be making a little history as one of only 6 storms to ever pass south then west of Jamacia without landfall. The south coast of Jamacia has always been my hurricane bolt-hole.

    Both you and Chris Parker nailed the further western movement that was not forecasted by anyone on Friday. Nice job as usual.

  • Scarlett Kennedy says:

    This is a cool game and if you play it with your friends, you’ll have a lot of fun. One of my close friends working at poppy playtime told me about this game and I have played this game with him quite a few times now. It’s just awesome!

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