Support TTWatching Paulette, a Disturbance East of Florida, and a New Wave off Africa
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Is the disturbance near the Bahamas going to be similar to Gordon?
Thank you for the informative update!
Thank you so much! As always, your clear and concise explanations really help us to understand the potential movement and impact of these storms.
Thanks!
I saw the long-range GFS for the wave-cum-storm coming off Senegal . . . if it holds, it would literally hit me where I live! I’m already terrified!
No need to be concerned. The long range model tracks will shift dramatically with each run. Check tomorrow and it will likely not be close to your location. Just keep an eye on it and monitor model trends, not individual model runs.
Yeah, I watch it one day and it was hitting the east coast of Florida.
The next day it went into the gulf and hit just north of Tampa, exactly where I live.
The day after that, it was back on the eastern side of Florida, but not actually reaching land just scraping up the side.
Today it’s not coming anywhere near land.
It’s one to keep an eye on for sure, but the paths are changing wildly.
Tropical Storm PAULETTE
As of 00:00 UTC Sep 11, 2020:
Location: 22.4°N 50.4°W
Hurricane soon enters the Sargasso Sea.
The hurricane will move west with the high in the Midwest Atlantic.
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Dr. Cowan posts the Tropical Tidbits site forecasting what is, IMVHO, the best tool for understanding what is going on in the tropical Atlantic. I’m going to share the URL for the site, and highly recommend you add it to your bookmarks:
Tropical Tidbits – Dr. Levi Cowan’s tropical Atlantic hurricane site
You’ll find a comprehensive abundance of forecasting models, analysis, and the more esoteric tools that will delight the most intense hurricane interests.
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Another brilliant analysis Dr. C… thank you for sharing your forecasting skill and talent. It is appreciated !
Which invest will develop first (if any?)
Which invest do you think will develop first (if any?)*
Honestly it is looking like that 96L will form first. I’d you are in the path, stay tuned.
The hurricane is approaching 55 W. When it reaches 60 W it will be above very warm water.