Levi is safe to say that the gom is pretty much out of the woods on this one
It’s looking less likely that Matthew will track into the Gulf of Mexico right now, but it can’t be absolutely guaranteed just yet. We’re still talking about a 5-7 day forecast that is highly uncertain.
Thank you! Just found your site. I am a public safety employee from the Outer Banks of NC – Thank you for your information.
This is the place to be man. During Hurricane season I’m reloading this page a few thousand times. Everything you need to know in a compact package.
thank you, Levi. Your information and delivery is greatly appreciated.
thanks great as always. I know there’s so much that “could” happen but is it still too soon to say that the Mississippi / Louisiana coasts are safe.
As I said to Tucker above, the Gulf of Mexico is looking pretty good right now, but I cannot absolutely guarantee that Matthew can’t track that far west in the long term.
Thanks. Didn’t see your response. That’s what happens when old men don’t use their glasses! LOL
LOL Thanks. Didn’t see that cause this old man is not wearing his glasses!
Setting up to be a potential nail biter for the East Coast. Oh boy!
Gonna get interesting over the next few days for sure. Thanks for doing what you do Levi!
Just curious but I am noticing the models while not set in stone appear to be trending nearer and nearer to the carolinas. Do you happen to have any take on this and any percentages yet? Love your analysis ans really enjoy this site
Levi, why does it appear that the current Recon on your site is showing less of a purple (64+ kt) wind field than the one last night? Yet the pressure is way down and people are saying it’s strengthening?
Based on wind alone, didn’t it appear stronger last night? Or is there a difference in flight elevation? Or should we not be focused at just how much breadth of 64+ kt wind there is right now?
Scratching my head, hope you can explain what I’m missing.
^ Whoops, meant to log in and not post as anonymous.
One potential reason is that the plane in there right now is flying at a higher level (700 mb) than the earlier missions, and the wind may be slightly weaker at that level right now. Indications are that near-surface winds continue to increase gradually.
That was ur best presentation yet. If I may ask what do u do during the daytime. U hv said before u have a day job, which presume is in meteo.
I am a graduate student in meteorology at Florida State University.
Just found your site and love the way you explain everything. I understand so much more about why these storms track the way they do. Just wish your posts were every 12 hours instead of just once a day. And “GO GATORS!”
I didn’t realize you were in Florida. As a local yacht captain I can say I really appreciate your forecasts . I’ll keep turning people onto your site and you keep up the good work.
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