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September 2016

[Wednesday Evening] Matthew Forms – Short-Term Threat to Southern Caribbean Islands – Long-Term Future Uncertain

   Posted by Levi at 10:57pm on September 28, 2016




  • Terry says:

    Great job as always. I am learning so much. Here in East Florida keeping my eyes and ears open.

  • Carlos says:

    Great information. I had never heard before that a stronger system can deviate to the north faster than a weaker system. Can you elaborate on this further? Why does this happen? I would have thought that a stronger system creates its own weather and thus would tend to move west more than a weaker system and not the other way around.

    • Levi says:

      It’s not always true, but often when an upper-level trough is nearby, a stronger storm will be more likely to turn north into the weakness that the trough creates in the subtropical ridge. This is because the trough exists primarily at the upper levels, and a stronger storm is steered by winds higher in the atmosphere. Weaker storms are only steered by low-level winds, and may not turn north due to the upper trough as easily.

  • Bill says:

    This was great thank you!!!

  • Reid says:

    Nice work Levi, as always.

    Perhaps one day quantum computers will be able to discern the butterfly effect coupled with the elephant in the room.

  • Anonymous says:

    Thanks Levi!

  • Matt Drozd says:

    I’m a roofing contractor in West Palm Beach, FL. It’s nice to watch factual, intelligent, and non bias weather forecasting. Well done Levi.

  • Cameron Snow says:

    Thsks. Watching from Newfoundland . Keep up the good work.

  • Stretch CT says:

    Nice discussion – appreciate it!

  • Annie says:

    Bonaire prediction?

  • Beach Bum says:

    The current aircraft recon on your site is impressive. The storm is gaining steam right in front of our eyes.

    Satellite imagery is showing a better defined storm as we speak, even looks like the center is becoming defined.

    And the aircraft recon shows quite a bit of area above 50-55 kt, much more than 10 hours ago in the prior run.

    So one thing for certain is Matthew is strengthening quickly. Now if we can only get a better read on the track. Will it or won’t it make landfall anywhere?

  • Patricia Vargas says:

    Very interesting and very understandable!

  • Rainer says:

    Great Job Levi…

  • andre says:

    Hi i have a canadienne couple in a sailboat at ile la vache ,haiti….In your next comment video…can you give your opinion on the wind in the arrea when the storm passes…i have been sailing 20 years,now we are in Samana DR….we now watch you everyday…its so clear and easy to understand…thanks Andre on S/V EAUDREE96

  • Jeremy Montague says:

    Great work, Levi… glad your power is back on!!!

  • Anonymous says:

    Well done Levi!

  • Suzanne Lombardo says:

    Just discovered your site, Levi, love it! Will watch faithfully from now on!

  • Amber says:

    Thanks for an easy to understand forecast. Watching Matthew from New London CT.

    • RebLBrown says:

      Amber, I was raised in Mystic! I follow Levi from the Philadelphia suburbs, having lived in this area for many years.

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