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September 2016

[Wednesday Evening] Hermine Could Bring Hurricane Conditions to North Florida; Madeline Weaker but Dangerous for Hawaii

   Posted by Levi at 12:09am on September 1, 2016




  • Anonymous says:

    When people are talking about a tropical system, I will repeat a small fraction of what Levi discussed the previous evening and people think I am extremely knowledgable. Does anyone else do this?

  • Rainer says:


    I have been noticing the models shifting farther west to the mid atlantic and new england. What is your thought on this???

    • Levi says:

      Highly uncertain still, but it could stall or move slowly close enough to the coast to bring bad weather to that region.

  • George Ann Peters says:

    Very helpful explanation of Hermine for this Gulf coast resident. Thank you for taking the time to do such a wonderful job of showing how the storm works and what influences it. I have learned more from your blog this week than I ever knew in spite of living these tropical systems all my life.

  • Polly says:

    Thank you Levi ! You’re awesome and to the point !

  • Jake Guttere says:

    Best educated guesstimate of the probability of a more easterly landing – say toward Gainsville – which will impact Orlando more?

  • Christine says:

    Thank you so much for your amazing analysis. I am on the Gulf Coast within the Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning areas, and your videos are really helpful.

  • Harrycane says:

    Thank You Levi

  • Beach Bum says:

    Looking at satellite imagery of this and is it just me or has the storm pushed unexpectedly eastward in the last 45 minutes or so??? Levi, do you see that?

    I bet the NHC pros are scratching their heads pacing in circles as we speak. Don’t be surprised to see all the hurricane watches get plastered hundreds of miles south of where they end now on the Florida panhandle.

    • Rainer says:

      Yeah, I’ve noticed that too. It is probably a slight shift though

    • Cjmoose says:

      Wouldn’t that be part of the wobble that he mentioned?

    • Levi says:

      It’s still difficult to say whether the apparent eastward wobble is a long-term trend, or if it will wobble back west/north. Often weak systems will swerve around and can be difficult to track.

  • Jen says:

    Hi –
    Just found this blog based on a recommendation in the Comments section at Capital Weather Gang. I am getting married this Saturday in Washington, DC. How worried do you think I need to be to pull everything indoors (thankfully that’s an option for us)?


  • Harrycane says:

    Looking at the radar of the storm, it does look like the whole cloud mass is drifting east. Maybe a landfall south of Tampa? It reminds me of Hurricane Charlie when the NHC was saying it was going to be a Tampa landfall while I watched the center make a bee line towards Punta Gorda. The NHC was saying it was just a wobble. There are still many unknowns that we still don’t have a total grasp on yet. Or maybe it will head exactly where they predict?

  • Debbie says:

    Hi Levi
    I love your page. I live in Manatee County ( which isjust south of Tampa Bay) I live lesd than a mile from the coast. We received 10+ inches of rain today with more expected tomorrow. It’s basically rained all day today since 5:30 A.M. with occasionally thunderstorms.
    Flooding already in Manatee and Sarasota counties. We are not even in the ‘offical’ hurricane watch zone.

  • tamijay says:

    I do believe you’re in the track, yes? Take care of yourself. Thanks for the insight

  • Dan McAleer says:

    I am so thrilled to have been directed to you page by a meteorologist I chat with occasionally. I have become very interesting in weather, how it forms and so on over the past year for some reason. Weather is far outside my former occupation in telecommunications but now it seems to have taken my interest. Your information is well presented and you obviously really know your stuff. I will be adding you to my daily sites I enjoy and follow. I live in the Maritime region of Canada just north of Maine so eastern seaboard weather patterns, as well as what we get from the west through the northern States and southern Canada combine into a very interesting and complex battle of weather fronts. I am sure everyone has seen the perfect storm and this was a collision of all these weather flows coming together can really cause some complicated forecasts. Looking forward to coming back tomorrow.

  • Bill says:

    Given the current track I assume you’ll feel some effects from this at FSU. After those years posting about the tropics from Alaska, how do you feel about experiencing a storm somewhat first hand, or have you been through one before?
    Thanks as always for the posts, looks like the long hurricane drought may be over for us here in Fl.

  • Okeetee says:

    Great link! At least your not scaring people like the “Weather Channel” to evacuate to Minnesota before there house falls in the ocean! I live just north of Hilton Head in Beaufort County and we expect some wind and maybe 3-5 inches of rain, which we can really use! One thing for sure….with all the pruned trees we got down here, we will definitely be losing some power!

  • Okeetee says:

    ….meant to say UN-pruned trees!

  • Dave says:

    Good job as always ,looks like the center is getting slightly smaller.Looks like 80 85 mph storm,anyways maybe last question till you update.Good Job Levi

  • Mzmullerz says:

    Stay safe, LevI

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